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Red46
77257.0
352222.0
595923.7
Blue111
754619.8
930120.6
463545.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618805010015020046111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+55
Endgame+63
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +51
6Coral scored#13
23Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
0Processor points12
8Net points24
8Algae points36
31Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points2
46Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5959
#23
23.72.1
21.119.0
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End2.8
blue by 21.4
45.13.1
39.542.6
Auto9.2
Teleop28.6
End7.3
Second
3522
#28
22.02.1
21.018.9
Auto2.5
Teleop18.5
End1.0
red by 1.3
9301
#24
20.63.1
18.321.5
Auto2.8
Teleop12.3
End5.5
Third
7725
#36
7.02.1
14.011.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End-0.2
blue by 12.8
7546
#11
19.83.1
17.220.3
Auto2.5
Teleop15.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned