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Red54
458416.8
497716.0
66527.9
Blue69
874111.5
874012.6
440341.8
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64632040801001205469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
37Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
8Cage & park16
8Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points18
54Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4584
#26
16.80.8
18.217.4
Auto2.9
Teleop12.2
End1.7
blue by 24.9
41.80.6
26.025.5
Auto4.3
Teleop29.8
End7.7
Second
4977
#35
16.00.8
17.817.1
Auto2.0
Teleop12.8
End1.2
red by 3.4
8740
#20
12.60.6
13.813.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Third
6652
#40
7.90.8
18.818.0
Auto0.8
Teleop6.5
End0.5
blue by 3.6
8741
#32
11.50.6
16.415.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned