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Red49
617019.1
347220.3
59328.7
Blue39
352222.0
497716.0
352621.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50670204060801001201404939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +2
7Coral scored#6
25Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
29Total teleop31
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
49Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.4
14.414.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End1.0
blue by 1.7
3522
#28
22.02.1
18.916.8
Auto2.5
Teleop18.5
End1.0
Second
6170
#21
19.10.4
17.317.7
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End1.3
blue by 1.9
21.02.1
22.120.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End1.7
Third
5932
#33
8.70.4
14.114.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 7.3
4977
#35
16.02.1
17.114.9
Auto2.0
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed