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Red63
66065.2
742129.7
664729.0
Blue72
570515.9
754619.8
710222.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78702040601001201406372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+5Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
55Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
2Cage & park10
2Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points6
63Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.3
28.027.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End1.6
red by 6.9
22.80.3
21.421.1
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.4
Second
6647
#15
29.00.3
24.223.9
Auto3.0
Teleop24.7
End1.3
red by 9.2
7546
#11
19.80.3
20.320.1
Auto2.5
Teleop15.3
End2.0
Third
6606
#43
5.20.3
13.413.1
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End1.7
blue by 10.8
5705
#18
15.90.3
17.717.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed