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Red75
588714.9
37948.0
440341.8
Blue98
634834.8
352714.8
610622.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675702040801001207598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+35
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +31
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
50Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#4
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
75Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.8
25.524.6
Auto4.3
Teleop29.8
End7.7
red by 6.9
34.83.5
24.227.7
Auto4.4
Teleop29.1
End1.4
Second
5887
#10
14.90.8
17.716.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End2.6
blue by 7.5
22.43.5
14.518.1
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End1.0
Third
3794
#39
8.00.8
13.212.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 6.8
3527
#30
14.83.5
12.315.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed