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Red18
667615.8
401012.6
1022513.6
Blue54
829020.9
43719.5
348023.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574602040801001854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
2Coral scored#8
7Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
11Total teleop33
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points8
18Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6676
#31
15.83.3
12.79.4
Auto2.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 7.3
3480
#13
23.10.3
14.014.3
Auto3.3
Teleop17.5
End2.3
Second
13.63.3
14.611.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End1.4
blue by 7.3
20.90.3
12.612.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Third
4010
#12
12.63.3
20.417.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 3.1
4371
#38
9.50.3
13.914.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed