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Red54
1052910.3
874012.6
601729.5
Blue73
393324.3
77257.0
315832.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526701001502002505473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
42Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
54Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6017
#14
29.50.7
22.321.6
Auto3.5
Teleop22.0
End3.9
blue by 3.5
3158
#22
32.90.1
25.525.6
Auto4.4
Teleop27.7
End0.9
Second
8740
#20
12.60.7
11.110.4
Auto2.4
Teleop7.7
End2.6
blue by 11.7
3933
#19
24.30.1
14.414.6
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Third
10.30.7
8.27.6
Auto1.3
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 3.3
7725
#36
7.00.1
10.810.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed