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Red59
347220.3
595923.7
477513.5
Blue12
66527.9
92828.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6544020801001201405912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +38
7Coral scored#2
26Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
46Total teleop8
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
59Total score12

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5959
#23
23.70.1
19.619.7
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End2.8
red by 14.7
9282
#41
8.93.5
10.36.8
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Second
20.30.1
14.814.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End1.0
red by 11.5
10580
#17Sur
8.83.5
14.410.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Third
4775
#25Sur
13.50.1
17.617.7
Auto2.3
Teleop10.8
End0.5
red by 5.7
6652
#40
7.93.5
13.710.2
Auto0.8
Teleop6.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed