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Red27
66065.2
710222.8
90536.5
Blue59
930120.6
352621.0
90656.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495801001502002759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+14
Endgame+26
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
4Coral scored#6
13Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
17Total teleop28
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points6
27Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.8
21.119.3
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.4
red by 1.8
21.00.4
20.020.4
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End1.7
Second
9053
#27
6.51.8
9.17.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
blue by 14.1
9301
#24
20.60.4
20.020.4
Auto2.8
Teleop12.3
End5.5
Third
6606
#43
5.21.8
13.111.3
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End1.7
blue by 1.6
9065
#42
6.80.4
9.39.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned