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Red78
37948.0
610622.4
458416.8
Blue78
617019.1
473118.4
742129.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607202040801001201401607878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
9Coral scored#12
33Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
61Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +6
8Cage & park2
8Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
78Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.4
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End1.0
blue by 7.3
29.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End1.6
Second
4584
#26
16.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.2
End1.7
blue by 2.3
6170
#21
19.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End1.3
Third
3794
#39
8.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 10.3
4731
#34
18.4
Auto3.1
Teleop14.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed