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Red74
588714.9
352714.8
497716.0
Blue76
829020.9
570515.9
401012.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605530405070807476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +9
5Coral scored#4
17Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
21Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
38Foul points34
74Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4977
#35
16.02.2
14.912.8
Auto2.0
Teleop12.8
End1.2
blue by 4.9
20.91.6
12.911.3
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Second
5887
#10
14.92.2
16.914.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End2.6
blue by 1.0
5705
#18
15.91.6
17.415.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Third
3527
#30
14.82.2
15.913.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End0.6
red by 2.2
4010
#12
12.61.6
17.115.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed