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Red111
634834.8
228320.3
463545.1
Blue73
667615.8
664729.0
393324.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10951010015020011173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+36Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
8Coral points3
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
17Coral scored#10
62Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
90Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#2
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
111Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.6
41.442.9
Auto9.2
Teleop28.6
End7.3
red by 16.1
6647
#15
29.01.5
23.925.4
Auto3.0
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Second
34.81.6
27.729.3
Auto4.4
Teleop29.1
End1.4
red by 10.5
3933
#19
24.31.5
14.616.1
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Third
2283
#16
20.31.6
17.018.5
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.3
red by 4.5
6676
#31
15.81.5
9.410.9
Auto2.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed