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Red29
90536.5
588714.9
617019.1
Blue15
1022513.6
477513.5
59328.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496102040801001202915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
4Coral scored#3
14Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
14Total teleop9
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#3
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
29Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6170
#21
19.11.5
17.716.2
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End1.3
red by 5.5
13.63.7
13.710.0
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End1.4
Second
5887
#10
14.91.5
14.713.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End2.6
red by 1.4
4775
#25
13.53.7
17.714.0
Auto2.3
Teleop10.8
End0.5
Third
9053
#27
6.51.5
7.35.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
blue by 2.2
5932
#33
8.73.7
16.913.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed