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Red29
92828.9
37948.0
667615.8
Blue100
497716.0
601729.5
664729.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3281020406010012014029100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+71
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +27
4Coral scored#9
13Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
17Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
2Foul points44
29Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6676
#31
15.80.3
10.910.6
Auto2.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 13.6
6017
#14
29.50.7
24.123.4
Auto3.5
Teleop22.0
End3.9
Second
9282
#41
8.90.3
6.86.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
blue by 20.1
6647
#15
29.00.7
25.424.7
Auto3.0
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Third
3794
#39
8.00.3
12.412.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 7.9
4977
#35
16.00.7
12.812.1
Auto2.0
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed