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Red65
315832.9
92828.9
829020.9
Blue85
710222.8
667615.8
617019.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565402040801006585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
+4Endgame
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
54Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points24
65Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#22
32.92.1
26.828.9
Auto4.4
Teleop27.7
End0.9
red by 10.1
22.80.1
18.418.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.4
Second
20.92.1
12.814.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End2.9
red by 1.8
6170
#21
19.10.1
16.216.3
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End1.3
Third
9282
#41DQ
8.92.1
6.48.5
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
blue by 6.9
6676
#31
15.80.1
10.610.7
Auto2.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed