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Red32
59328.7
595923.7
66065.2
Blue38
874012.6
610622.4
477513.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525802040801001203238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +8
3Coral scored#6
12Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
20Total teleop28
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
32Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5959
#23
23.72.1
21.219.1
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End2.8
red by 1.3
22.41.5
18.116.7
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End1.0
Second
5932
#33
8.72.1
13.211.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 4.8
4775
#25
13.51.5
14.012.6
Auto2.3
Teleop10.8
End0.5
Third
6606
#43
5.22.1
11.19.1
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End1.7
blue by 7.4
8740
#20
12.61.5
13.111.6
Auto2.4
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed