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Red146
440341.8
393324.3
347220.3
Blue49
930120.6
43719.5
570515.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7863204010012014014649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+61Teleop
+59Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
14Coral scored#6
50Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
78Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
38Foul points0
146Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.83.9
27.131.0
Auto4.3
Teleop29.8
End7.7
red by 21.1
9301
#24
20.61.3
20.218.9
Auto2.8
Teleop12.3
End5.5
Second
3933
#19
24.33.9
16.120.0
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End1.6
red by 8.4
5705
#18
15.91.3
15.814.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Third
20.33.9
17.621.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End1.0
red by 10.8
4371
#38
9.51.3
15.414.1
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned