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Red85
497716.0
228320.3
710222.8
Blue60
43719.5
352222.0
66527.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5943020801008560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+31Teleop
+35Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
69Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points10
85Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.82.7
18.521.1
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.4
red by 0.9
3522
#28
22.00.2
15.815.6
Auto2.5
Teleop18.5
End1.0
Second
2283
#16
20.32.7
16.218.9
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.3
red by 10.8
4371
#38
9.50.2
14.113.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Third
4977
#35
16.02.7
12.114.7
Auto2.0
Teleop12.8
End1.2
red by 8.1
6652
#40
7.90.2
7.97.7
Auto0.8
Teleop6.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed