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Red93
463545.1
742129.7
570515.9
Blue55
90656.8
440341.8
90536.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1054702060801201401609355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+36Teleop
+44Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
9Coral scored#7
34Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
66Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points6
93Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.3
39.639.9
Auto9.2
Teleop28.6
End7.3
red by 3.3
41.80.1
31.031.1
Auto4.3
Teleop29.8
End7.7
Second
29.70.3
30.430.6
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End1.6
red by 23.0
9065
#42
6.80.1
8.08.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End1.5
Third
5705
#18
15.90.3
14.514.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
red by 9.5
9053
#27
6.50.1
5.85.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed