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Red82
664729.0
458416.8
77257.0
Blue56
401012.6
393324.3
588714.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716202040801001208256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
62Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
12Foul points0
82Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#15
29.00.7
24.725.4
Auto3.0
Teleop24.7
End1.3
red by 4.7
3933
#19
24.30.5
20.019.5
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Second
4584
#26
16.80.7
16.317.0
Auto2.9
Teleop12.2
End1.7
red by 1.9
5887
#10
14.90.5
13.212.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End2.6
Third
7725
#36
7.00.7
10.010.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End-0.2
blue by 5.6
4010
#12
12.60.5
12.111.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed