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Red115
588714.9
595923.7
664729.0
Blue71
348023.1
617019.1
874111.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7551020406010012011571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+44Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
66Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
34Foul points0
115Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#15
29.01.1
25.426.4
Auto3.0
Teleop24.7
End1.3
red by 5.9
3480
#13
23.11.9
15.817.7
Auto3.3
Teleop17.5
End2.3
Second
5959
#23
23.71.1
19.120.2
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End2.8
red by 4.6
6170
#21
19.11.9
16.318.2
Auto3.3
Teleop14.5
End1.3
Third
5887
#10
14.91.1
12.713.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End2.6
red by 3.4
8741
#32
11.51.9
9.911.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed