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Red71
401012.6
90536.5
473118.4
Blue73
601729.5
463545.1
347220.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251060501507173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+22
Endgame+26
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
13Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#8
20Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
30Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
26Foul points2
71Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4731
#34
18.40.0
12.712.7
Auto3.1
Teleop14.0
End1.2
blue by 26.7
45.11.4
39.938.5
Auto9.2
Teleop28.6
End7.3
Second
4010
#12
12.60.0
11.711.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 16.9
6017
#14
29.51.4
22.220.8
Auto3.5
Teleop22.0
End3.9
Third
9053
#27
6.50.0
5.95.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
blue by 13.8
20.31.4
21.520.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed