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Red115
440341.8
352222.0
829020.9
Blue41
393324.3
66065.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82420206010012014011541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+74Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +54
14Coral scored#6
49Coral points21
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
24Processor points6
12Net points4
36Algae points10
85Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
18Foul points0
115Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.82.7
31.133.8
Auto4.3
Teleop29.8
End7.7
red by 17.5
3933
#19
24.30.6
19.518.9
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Second
3522
#28
22.02.7
15.618.3
Auto2.5
Teleop18.5
End1.0
red by 13.1
8.80.6
6.35.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Third
20.92.7
14.917.6
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End2.9
red by 15.7
6606
#43
5.20.6
9.18.5
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed