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Red23
90656.8
43719.5
497716.0
Blue33
742129.7
77257.0
1052910.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4362020801001202333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
2Coral scored#5
6Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
10Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
23Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4977
#35
16.01.5
14.713.2
Auto2.0
Teleop12.8
End1.2
blue by 13.8
29.71.8
30.628.9
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End1.6
Second
4371
#38
9.51.5
13.912.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End0.5
blue by 0.8
10.31.8
7.65.9
Auto1.3
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Third
9065
#42
6.81.5
8.16.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End1.5
blue by 0.3
7725
#36
7.01.8
10.68.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed