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Red46
66527.9
59328.7
37948.0
Blue61
570515.9
228320.3
458416.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32650204060801001204661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
34Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points6
46Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5932
#33
8.70.3
11.111.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 11.6
2283
#16
20.31.1
18.917.7
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.3
Second
3794
#39
8.00.3
11.011.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 8.8
4584
#26
16.81.1
17.015.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Third
6652
#40
7.90.3
7.78.0
Auto0.8
Teleop6.5
End0.5
blue by 8.1
5705
#18
15.91.1
14.813.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed