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Red57
315832.9
930120.6
347220.3
Blue103
463545.1
664729.0
1022513.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7684406010012057103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+36
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +28
9Coral scored#15
34Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
44Total teleop72
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
57Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#22
32.91.3
30.228.9
Auto4.4
Teleop27.7
End0.9
blue by 12.1
45.12.8
38.541.3
Auto9.2
Teleop28.6
End7.3
Second
9301
#24
20.61.3
18.717.3
Auto2.8
Teleop12.3
End5.5
blue by 8.4
6647
#15
29.02.8
26.429.3
Auto3.0
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Third
20.31.3
20.118.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End1.0
red by 6.7
13.62.8
9.712.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned