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Red86
497716.0
634834.8
393324.3
Blue73
742129.7
90536.5
595923.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787040601001208673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
73Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#3
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
86Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.8
29.631.4
Auto4.4
Teleop29.1
End1.4
red by 5.1
29.71.0
28.929.9
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End1.6
Second
3933
#19
24.31.8
18.920.7
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End1.6
red by 0.6
5959
#23
23.71.0
20.221.2
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End2.8
Third
4977
#35
16.01.8
13.215.0
Auto2.0
Teleop12.8
End1.2
red by 9.5
9053
#27
6.51.0
5.96.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed