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Red31
352621.0
66527.9
829020.9
Blue15
37948.0
90656.8
77257.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553202040801001203115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
3Coral scored#2
10Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
16Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#3
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
31Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.01.9
19.417.5
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End1.7
red by 13.0
3794
#39
8.01.6
11.39.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Second
20.91.9
17.615.7
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End2.9
red by 13.9
7725
#36
7.01.6
8.87.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End-0.2
Third
6652
#40
7.91.9
8.06.1
Auto0.8
Teleop6.5
End0.5
red by 1.1
9065
#42
6.81.6
6.65.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed