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Red25
66065.2
570515.9
352714.8
Blue57
458416.8
1052910.3
62%Model gave it38%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47340204060801001202557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +33
3Coral scored#6
12Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
12Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
25Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5705
#18
15.92.2
13.711.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
blue by 0.9
4584
#26
16.82.7
15.818.5
Auto2.9
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Second
3527
#30
14.82.2
16.514.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.4
End0.6
red by 4.5
10.32.7
5.98.6
Auto1.3
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Third
6606
#43
5.22.2
8.56.3
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End1.7
blue by 3.6
8.82.7
5.78.4
Auto2.3
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed