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Red51
59328.7
874111.5
930120.6
Blue81
710222.8
347220.3
401012.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476302040801001205181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+26
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#4
6Processor points0
4Net points16
10Algae points16
32Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
4Foul points8
51Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9301
#24
20.60.2
17.317.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.3
End5.5
blue by 2.2
22.80.7
20.821.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.4
Second
8741
#32
11.50.2
11.411.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End2.6
blue by 8.8
20.30.7
18.819.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End1.0
Third
5932
#33
8.70.2
11.411.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 3.9
4010
#12
12.60.7
14.815.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsEarned