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Red123
664729.0
315832.9
477513.5
Blue93
473118.4
440341.8
497716.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807405010015020012393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
21Coral scored#11
77Coral points40
3Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
18Processor points24
8Net points16
26Algae points40
103Total teleop80
Reef
10L4#4
4L3#2
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
4Foul points0
123Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#22
32.93.2
28.932.0
Auto4.4
Teleop27.7
End0.9
blue by 8.8
41.81.1
37.038.1
Auto4.3
Teleop29.8
End7.7
Second
6647
#15
29.03.2
29.332.4
Auto3.0
Teleop24.7
End1.3
red by 10.7
4731
#34
18.41.2
12.313.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.0
End1.2
Third
4775
#25
13.53.2
11.014.2
Auto2.3
Teleop10.8
End0.5
blue by 2.4
4977
#35
16.01.1
15.016.1
Auto2.0
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed