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Red78
352621.0
667615.8
348023.1
Blue100
66527.9
393324.3
742129.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587220408010012078100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+18
Fouls+22
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
16Coral scored#16
57Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
67Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points4
78Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3480
#13
23.11.5
20.922.3
Auto3.3
Teleop17.5
End2.3
blue by 6.7
29.72.0
29.932.0
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End1.6
Second
21.01.4
17.518.9
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End1.7
blue by 3.3
3933
#19
24.31.9
20.722.6
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Third
6676
#31
15.81.4
11.412.8
Auto2.1
Teleop12.2
End1.5
red by 7.9
6652
#40
7.91.9
6.18.0
Auto0.8
Teleop6.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
7%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed