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Red43
90656.8
1052910.3
754619.8
Blue50
588714.9
829020.9
458416.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3858020801004350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+3
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
31Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
6Cage & park10
6Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
43Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7546
#11
19.80.8
19.520.2
Auto2.5
Teleop15.3
End2.0
blue by 1.1
20.90.2
15.715.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Second
10.30.8
8.69.4
Auto1.3
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 6.5
4584
#26
16.80.2
18.518.7
Auto2.9
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Third
9065
#42
6.80.8
5.05.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End1.5
blue by 8.1
5887
#10
14.90.2
11.111.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed9%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed