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Red115
610622.4
570515.9
352222.0
Blue98
601729.5
228320.3
92828.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595820408010011598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
21Coral scored#17
74Coral points61
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
104Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points6
115Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.43.9
17.921.7
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End1.0
blue by 7.0
6017
#14
29.52.1
22.324.4
Auto3.5
Teleop22.0
End3.9
Second
3522
#28
22.03.6
17.921.5
Auto2.5
Teleop18.5
End1.0
red by 1.6
2283
#16
20.32.1
16.018.1
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.3
Third
5705
#18
15.93.6
11.515.1
Auto3.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
red by 7.0
9282
#41
8.92.1
6.98.9
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed