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Red74
570515.9
92828.9
634834.8
Blue73
463545.1
77257.0
43719.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68700204060801001201407473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+3Teleop
Endgame+3
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points5
9Total auto14
TeleoperatedRed +8
11Coral scored#10
39Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
61Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
4Foul points0
74Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.1
32.232.3
Auto4.4
Teleop29.1
End1.4
blue by 10.2
45.10.2
44.044.3
Auto9.2
Teleop28.6
End7.3
Second
5705
#18
15.90.1
15.715.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.7
End2.3
red by 6.4
4371
#38
9.50.2
9.39.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Third
9282
#41
8.90.1
8.88.9
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End0.7
red by 1.9
7725
#36
7.00.2
6.87.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed