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Red69
348023.1
710222.8
477513.5
Blue33
37948.0
347220.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7644020601001206933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
12Coral scored#4
43Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
61Total teleop20
Reef
5L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
69Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3480
#13
23.10.8
23.724.6
Auto3.3
Teleop17.5
End2.3
red by 2.8
20.30.8
20.920.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End1.0
Second
22.80.8
20.721.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.4
red by 14.0
8.80.7
9.68.8
Auto2.3
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Third
4775
#25
13.50.7
12.813.5
Auto2.3
Teleop10.8
End0.5
red by 5.5
3794
#39
8.00.9
8.98.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed