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Red58
77257.0
477513.5
228320.3
Blue87
595923.7
458416.8
315832.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547202040801001201401605887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
1Coral points0
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +28
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points46
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
6Processor points18
4Net points8
10Algae points26
44Total teleop72
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
58Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#16
20.31.1
18.117.0
Auto4.1
Teleop14.9
End1.3
blue by 12.6
3158
#22
32.90.6
24.925.5
Auto4.4
Teleop27.7
End0.9
Second
4775
#25
13.51.1
18.717.6
Auto2.3
Teleop10.8
End0.5
blue by 10.1
5959
#23
23.70.6
19.019.6
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End2.8
Third
7725
#36
7.01.1
11.810.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End-0.2
blue by 9.8
4584
#26
16.80.6
17.418.0
Auto2.9
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed