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Red107
463545.1
930120.6
440341.8
Blue68
352222.0
664729.0
610622.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12784406010014016018010768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+21Teleop
+43Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
70Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points4
107Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.0
44.644.6
Auto9.2
Teleop28.6
End7.3
red by 16.1
6647
#15
29.00.3
29.529.2
Auto3.0
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Second
41.80.0
41.341.3
Auto4.3
Teleop29.8
End7.7
red by 19.4
22.40.3
22.922.6
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End1.0
Third
9301
#24
20.60.0
20.120.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.3
End5.5
blue by 1.3
3522
#28
22.00.3
22.422.1
Auto2.5
Teleop18.5
End1.0