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Red151
601729.5
473118.4
634834.8
Blue146
315832.9
829020.9
458416.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96834060120140151146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
23Coral scored#21
83Coral points76
5Processor algae#5
5Net algae#5
30Processor points30
20Net points20
50Algae points50
133Total teleop126
Reef
11L4#11
8L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
151Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.3
32.233.5
Auto4.4
Teleop29.1
End1.4
red by 1.9
3158
#22
32.91.6
31.432.9
Auto4.4
Teleop27.7
End0.9
Second
6017
#14
29.51.2
27.128.2
Auto3.5
Teleop22.0
End3.9
red by 8.6
20.91.4
19.520.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Third
4731
#34
18.41.4
15.516.9
Auto3.1
Teleop14.0
End1.2
red by 1.5
4584
#26
16.81.6
15.216.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.2
End1.7