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Red82
401012.6
348023.1
742129.7
Blue115
352621.0
595923.7
393324.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828560709010011082115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#18
32Coral points66
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
62Total teleop80
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points22
82Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End1.6
red by 5.4
3933
#19
24.30.2
24.124.3
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Second
3480
#13
23.10.0
23.123.1
Auto3.3
Teleop17.5
End2.3
blue by 0.6
5959
#23
23.70.2
23.523.7
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End2.8
Third
4010
#12
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 8.4
21.00.2
20.821.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End1.7