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Red69
601729.5
473118.4
634834.8
Blue93
352222.0
664729.0
610622.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031004060801201401601806993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+28
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +28
11Coral scored#16
38Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
56Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#6
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
69Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.9
33.132.2
Auto4.4
Teleop29.1
End1.4
red by 5.8
6647
#15
29.00.0
29.529.5
Auto3.0
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Second
6017
#14
29.50.8
27.827.1
Auto3.5
Teleop22.0
End3.9
red by 7.0
22.40.0
22.922.9
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End1.0
Third
4731
#34
18.40.9
16.515.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.0
End1.2
blue by 3.6
3522
#28
22.00.0
22.422.4
Auto2.5
Teleop18.5
End1.0