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Red114
463545.1
930120.6
440341.8
Blue83
401012.6
348023.1
742129.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127705010015020011483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+33Teleop
+55Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
8Coral points16
17Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +32
10Coral scored#4
35Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
53Total teleop21
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +31
18Foul points42
114Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.3
44.944.6
Auto9.2
Teleop28.6
End7.3
red by 15.3
29.70.8
30.529.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End1.6
Second
41.80.3
41.541.3
Auto4.3
Teleop29.8
End7.7
red by 18.7
3480
#13
23.10.8
23.923.1
Auto3.3
Teleop17.5
End2.3
Third
9301
#24
20.60.3
20.420.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.3
End5.5
red by 8.0
4010
#12
12.60.7
13.312.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End1.0