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Red65
754619.8
588714.9
347220.3
Blue66
352621.0
595923.7
393324.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6889204060801001201406566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
43Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +1
4Foul points2
65Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.1
20.220.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.2
End1.0
blue by 4.0
3933
#19
24.30.3
24.424.1
Auto3.0
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Second
7546
#11
19.80.1
19.719.8
Auto2.5
Teleop15.3
End2.0
blue by 3.8
5959
#23
23.70.3
23.823.5
Auto3.7
Teleop17.2
End2.8
Third
5887
#10
14.90.1
14.814.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End2.6
blue by 6.1
21.00.3
21.120.8
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End1.7