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Red146
913443.8
648319.1
440065.3
Blue90
571641.4
440129.8
829020.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1541095020025014690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+52Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points16
36Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +35
20Coral scored#11
72Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
94Total teleop59
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#3
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
146Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.30.4
64.865.3
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
red by 23.8
41.40.2
41.641.4
Auto4.6
Teleop31.2
End5.6
Second
43.80.4
43.443.8
Auto7.4
Teleop34.2
End2.2
red by 14.0
4401
#28
29.80.2
30.029.8
Auto3.8
Teleop23.6
End2.4
Third
6483
#23
19.10.5
18.619.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End1.2
blue by 1.6
8290
#31
20.70.2
20.920.7
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End2.2