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Red132
913443.8
648319.1
440065.3
Blue103
571641.4
440129.8
829020.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15510950200250132103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points51
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
12Processor points18
28Net points16
40Algae points34
93Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
132Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.30.0
64.864.8
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
red by 23.8
41.40.1
41.541.6
Auto4.6
Teleop31.2
End5.6
Second
43.80.0
43.443.4
Auto7.4
Teleop34.2
End2.2
red by 14.0
4401
#28
29.80.1
29.930.0
Auto3.8
Teleop23.6
End2.4
Third
6483
#23
19.10.0
18.618.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End1.2
blue by 1.6
8290
#31
20.70.1
20.820.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End2.2