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Red69
683222.5
460320.8
826619.2
Blue129
670235.0
951329.7
959323.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58820204010012014069129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+60
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +37
8Coral scored#13
30Coral points47
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
40Total teleop77
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points26
69Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6832
#17
22.51.1
18.719.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End2.4
blue by 12.5
35.01.8
30.131.8
Auto4.7
Teleop28.2
End2.1
Second
4603
#10
20.80.7
13.414.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End3.1
blue by 8.9
29.71.8
20.322.1
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End6.3
Third
8266
#20
19.21.1
18.119.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End5.3
blue by 4.1
9593
#12
23.31.8
17.919.7
Auto3.9
Teleop18.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned