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Red45
949914.6
912014.7
855813.2
Blue59
68964.5
552625.7
921318.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496202040801001201404559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points1
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +9
3Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
16Total teleop7
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#0
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
14Foul points36
45Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9120
#13
14.71.9
14.112.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End2.3
blue by 11.0
25.73.6
21.618.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Second
9499
#41
14.61.9
13.611.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 3.5
9213
#36
18.13.6
14.711.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Third
8558
#34
13.21.9
17.415.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End0.8
red by 8.8
6896
#42
4.53.6
16.412.8
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed