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Red69
619916.1
440343.8
768715.9
Blue85
754627.4
906015.7
617018.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825202040601001201401606985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+10
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +15
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points41
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
0Processor points12
12Net points12
12Algae points24
50Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points6
69Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.80.4
41.941.5
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End6.6
red by 16.4
7546
#14
27.41.8
22.023.8
Auto2.7
Teleop22.7
End2.0
Second
6199
#26
16.10.6
11.110.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 2.2
6170
#22
18.32.0
18.320.3
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End0.8
Third
7687
#18
15.90.6
18.217.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End3.4
red by 0.2
9060
#30
15.72.7
11.714.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed