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Red22
620014.2
757725.4
Blue109
810524.0
440065.3
473515.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010705015022109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+69
Endgame+83
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +45
3Coral scored#12
10Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
0Processor points12
4Net points4
4Algae points16
14Total teleop59
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
0L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points4
22Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7577
#16
25.44.5
20.916.4
Auto4.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
blue by 39.9
65.30.6
56.256.7
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
Second
6200
#33
14.24.5
21.016.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 9.7
24.00.6
20.421.0
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End5.6
Third
8.94.4
8.913.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 7.1
4735
#24
15.90.6
17.518.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned