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Red22
477521.8
570514.8
76698.2
Blue58
930128.0
765320.7
829117.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6968204060801002258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+32
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +26
3Coral scored#9
12Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
16Total teleop42
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
22Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4775
#21
21.82.6
22.620.0
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
blue by 6.2
28.00.3
20.620.4
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3
Second
5705
#29
14.83.1
15.912.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 5.9
7653
#35
20.70.4
17.717.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End2.7
Third
7669
#37
8.24.3
16.712.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End0.3
blue by 8.8
8291
#25
17.00.4
16.916.6
Auto3.0
Teleop13.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed